Reliable Predictions

Reliable Predictions

Predict with Confidence. No More Guessing Deadlines.

Answer the question „When will it be done?“ with statistical certainty. Use your team’s real history to set expectations that you can actually meet.

Why Story Points and Velocity often fail

Most teams rely on Story Points and average Velocity to plan their future. But estimates are often biased, and „averages“ hide the volatility of real-world software development. When a single outlier or a hidden dependency hits, your plan falls apart, and stakeholder trust erodes.

Hope is not a strategy. To make reliable commitments, you need a probabilistic approach that accounts for uncertainty.

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Monte Carlo Forecasts: Data-Driven Deadlines

Stop picking a single date and start communicating probabilities. Flow2C uses Monte Carlo simulations to run thousands of „what-if“ scenarios based on your past throughput.

  • Probabilistic Planning: Instead of saying „May 1st,“ tell your stakeholders: „There is an 85% chance we finish by May 5th.“
  • Scope-Check: See instantly how adding new features mid-sprint impacts your likely completion date.
  • Continuous Adjustment: As your team completes work, your forecast updates automatically, giving you a real-time view of your project’s health.
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Cycle Time Scatterplots: Understand your Stability

Predictability is a result of a stable process. The Cycle Time Scatterplot reveals the „fingerprint“ of your delivery system by showing the completion time of every single item.

  • Spot Patterns and Clusters: Understand which types of work are predictable and which are „wildcards.“
  • Manage Risk: Identify outliers—those tasks that took 3x longer than expected—and investigate the root cause to prevent them in the future.
  • Service Level Expectations (SLE): Define clear expectations for your stakeholders based on what your team has actually delivered in the past.
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Burnup Charts: Track Progress vs. Scope Growth

A Burndown shows you what’s left, but a Burnup reveals the full story. It visualizes both the completed work and the total scope over time.

  • Visualize Scope Creep: See exactly when and how much new work was added to a milestone, explaining why a deadline might be shifting.
  • Projected Completion: The chart projects your current progress line against the scope line, showing you exactly where they will intersect.
  • Multi-Repo Insights: Track progress across multiple GitHub repositories to get a holistic view of your product release.
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Bridge the Gap between Dev and Stakeholders

Flow2C turns complex data into a language that everyone understands. No more defending your estimates—let the data speak for itself.

  • Transparent Planning: Share professional reports that show the „Why“ behind your timelines.
  • Data-Backed Refinement: Use your historical data to refine your roadmap during quarterly planning or sprint reviews.
  • Build Trust: When you consistently deliver within your predicted windows, stakeholder trust becomes your greatest asset.

Ready to provide answers you can trust?

Stop relying on gut feeling and start using the data your team is already producing. Setup takes less than 60 seconds.

No credit card required. Experience the power of probabilistic forecasting today.